At the end of the project
the Second National Communication of Kyrgyzstan on Climate Change
that is now developing
will be published here

A t present, the working teams are developing the Second National Communication of Kyrgyztan on Climate Change. Chapters from the First National Communication of Kyrgyztan on Climate Change are below:

II. GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORY BY SOURCES AND REMOVALS BY SINKS

1. Methodologies and data sources ()
2. Greenhouse gas emissions ()
3. Greenhouse gas emissions forecast ()
4. Uncertainty in the emissions and sinks assessment ()

III. CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH

1. National Climate Observation Network ()
2. Observed climatic changes ()
3. Expected climate changes ()

IV. VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT AND ADAPTATION

1. Basic scenarios ()
2. Water resources ()
3. Energy sector ()
4. Population health ()
5. Biodiversity ()
6. Forest resources ()
7. Agriculture ()

V. ASSESSMENT OF STRATEGIES AND MEASURES OF MITIGATING THE IMPACT ON THE CLIMATE

1. Energy
2. Transport
3. Forest sector
4. Agriculture
5. Waste
6. Water resourses
7. Biodiversity.

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The opinions of the team leaders
on the tasks and problems of fulfilment of the communication chapters:National circumstances
A.Ibraev, Team Leader

Analysis of the available National communications on climate change has shown that the “National Circumstances” chapter mainly includes a standard list of the above-mentioned sections, where a general description of the Kyrgyz Republic – its climate, economy, flora etc. – is given. The National Circumstances group to this point of time has already executed the description of the Republic in such direction.

However, taking into account the peculiarity of the present Project connected to climate change, this chapter should additionally include the main features of the Republic from the stand of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. In particular, these are possible ways of climate change impact and prospective measures towards decrease of the impact. Moreover, in the chapter the main greenhouse gases emission and absorption sources should be defined, which will further determine the trends of activities to abate greenhouse gases emissions and enhance absorption. At present the available information in this direction is being further processed.

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GHG inventory
Dr.Sh.Iliasov, Team LeaderAccording to the UNFCCC requirements our Republic has to develop and periodically update the cadastres of anthropogenic emissions and absorption by sinks of all greenhouse gases. Within the project framework a chapter on greenhouse gases inventory is required for the assessment of the degree of the republic’s impact on global climate change and the development of a plan of actions on the mitigation of this influence. Earlier the problem of GHG inventory in Kyrgyzstan was not addressed because the majority of the greenhouse gases according to the national specifications do not refer to the hazard chemical substances. Therefore, there are no analytical control methods and type methodologies to calculate greenhouse gases emissions and absorption.

To conduct the inventory a group of national experts was created. The main goals of this group are:

• To detect the basic sources of greenhouse gases emissions and absorptions;
• To develop a system of national calculation schemes that stand to the acting in the Republic accounting and statistics system;
• To carry out an inventory of greenhouse gases emissions and absorptions for the last 10 years;
• To determine the basic ways of reduction of emissions and increase of absorption of the greenhouse gases.

The initial stage of the project task for the team requires to display the basic sources of emissions and sinks inherent to the Kyrgyz Republic and to define the basic information sources according to the acting in the Republic system of accounting and reporting. This stage has been fulfilled. The basic calculation schemes were selected and for the separate directions the draft emission calculations were done. Calculations were carried out according to the requirements on calculating methods and forms for presenting information.

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Climate change trends research
Prof.O.A.Podrezov, Team LeaderWithin the framework of the project the following two main tasks are to be fulfilled by the team: · on the basis of the available meteorological net of Kyrgyzstan, to evaluate the observed climate changes for the last 100-year period; · on the basis of global climatic models, to give the forecast of scenarios of Kyrgyzstan’s climatic conditions for the end of the 21st century, when the redoubling of CO2 – the basic greenhouse gas – is expected. The climate change trends group has created the climatic database, studied the program complexes for calculations of observed climatic changes and the forecast of future climatic conditions scenarios, made control calculations under the programs and has started the systematic statistical calculations necessary for the analysis of climatic parameters. It turned out as it was expected, for example, that according to the data of a series of stations, the 30-year period of 1961-1990 was warmer than the previous 30-year period 1931-1960 by about 0.5-1°C (in winter by 1-2°C). At the same time, the precipitations at the most of the stations have decreased. However, these climatic changes are ambiguous and may have different signs in various districts and high-altitude zones.